Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.389808e-01 3.260917e-01 0.428643 0.556220 0.708594 0.882747 1.094779
2026-01-04 1.241689e-01 2.222782e-01 0.358527 0.551855 0.809404 1.131403 1.554705
2026-01-11 5.879266e-02 1.464438e-01 0.292732 0.529000 0.876045 1.343443 1.995782
2026-01-18 2.626697e-02 9.805758e-02 0.244622 0.512891 0.942481 1.557832 2.458181
2026-01-25 1.158452e-02 6.972755e-02 0.215840 0.515572 1.031704 1.808216 2.986205
2026-02-01 3.669416e-03 4.515578e-02 0.180147 0.493825 1.075238 1.992429 3.431626
2026-02-08 1.316977e-03 3.485839e-02 0.170672 0.517252 1.193779 2.295717 4.063607
2026-02-15 2.437644e-04 2.446114e-02 0.153267 0.518400 1.271297 2.538466 4.617151
2026-02-22 4.671075e-05 2.075988e-02 0.154482 0.560465 1.426591 2.913483 5.385029
2026-03-01 6.719882e-07 1.632781e-02 0.149310 0.585553 1.551266 3.244338 6.097799
2026-03-08 NaN 1.158378e-02 0.137653 0.590785 1.636601 3.513091 6.723577
2026-03-15 NaN 7.293351e-03 0.121605 0.579020 1.685076 3.720338 7.259007
2026-03-22 NaN 5.007475e-03 0.113862 0.589762 1.783509 4.023109 7.964853
2026-03-29 NaN 3.093221e-03 0.103883 0.590587 1.860580 4.292327 8.626878
2026-04-05 NaN 1.459289e-03 0.088869 0.569300 1.885814 4.469615 9.145395
2026-04-12 NaN 6.135537e-04 0.076990 0.553692 1.921075 4.665631 9.700121
2026-04-19 NaN 2.769947e-04 0.070836 0.557229 2.001089 4.947305 10.405135
2026-04-26 NaN 5.378506e-05 0.059619 0.534597 2.014419 5.103441 10.903033
2026-05-03 NaN 2.248959e-05 0.059170 0.559557 2.148573 5.494884 11.809950
2026-05-10 NaN 1.886760e-06 0.054143 0.560868 2.222248 5.772267 12.528581
2026-05-17 NaN 1.010399e-06 0.057505 0.605368 2.411635 6.280933 13.655549
2026-05-24 NaN 3.487850e-08 0.057373 0.631883 2.555410 6.704506 14.643940
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.053548 0.637418 2.643796 7.021908 15.455152